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» Sunday, June 2 2013

The Heat are 3-3 all-time in Game 7s. The Pacers are 2-3, with all five games coming on the road. The two wins came against the New York Knicks in 1995 and the Boston Celtics in 2005. The Heat are 3-2 all-time in home Game 7s, including a win vs the Celtics in last year's Eastern Conference Finals This will be James' fourth career Game 7. His teams are 1-2 in those winner-take-all games, losing two on the road with the Cavaliers before winning at home against the Celtics last season to advance to the NBA Finals. James is averaging 34.3 points in those three Game 7s. Elias notes that he has the highest Game 7 scoring average in NBA history, for those who played in multiple Game 7s. ESPN.com

 

» Saturday, June 1 2013

Muthu Alagappan arrived at Stanford University with his heart set on attending medical school, and he still hopes to become a doctor someday. Revolutionizing the NBA is just his hobby. Somehow, though, goofing around with basketball stats after work one day led to a discovery that has made Alagappan, 23, a cult figure in the growing field of sports analytics. "If Moneyball revolutionized baseball," GQ Magazine wrote, 'Muthuball' could mark a new frontier for the NBA." Two years ago, Alagappan was an intern at Ayasdi, a Palo Alto-based startup company, using the company's proprietary software to tackle complex problems such as cancer research and accelerated drug discovery. San Jose Mercury-News

His discovery has opened up a whole new basketball debate -- a Pandora's Box-and-One, if you will. Alagappan argues that basketball's traditional five positions are as outmoded as James Naismith's peach basket, insisting instead that there are at least 10 distinct positions. And he has the topological data analysis to prove it. "The positions are kind of the alphabet by which everything around basketball revolves," Alagappan said. "If we can redefine the alphabet in terms of these 10 or 13 positions, then we can hopefully change all of the strategy that the game is built on." San Jose Mercury-News

Alagappan likes to open with a parable about medicine, noting that almost two thousand years ago the Roman physician Galen theorized that all illnesses could be classified under one of four bodily fluids. As science evolved, doctors grew to understand that diseases and their cures were much more complex. And so it is now with basketball, Alagappan says, arguing that the oversimplified constructs of point guard, shooting guard, small forward, power forward and center should be replaced by a more sophisticated list of positions as varied as "low-usage ball-handlers," like Trevor Ariza and Courtney Lee, to "mid-range big men" like Brandon Bass and Glenn Davis. San Jose Mercury-News

Alagappan resists trying to explain the Warriors' playoff success, warning that the sample size is too small. But asked to explain how the team could withstand the loss of All-Star power forward David Lee, he speculated that giving the bulk of Lee's minutes to small forward Draymond Green, a three-point shooting threat, may have opened up the floor and allowed the Warriors to capitalize on penetration and ball movement. Lee, he said, would be classified as a "scoring rebounder," a position the Warriors already had in abundance with Andrew Bogut and Carl Landry. As Alagappan wrote in an e-mail: "Thus, a combination of spreading the floor, increasing shot selection versatility, and reducing positional redundancy are likely reasons for the Warriors improved play." San Jose Mercury-News

 

» Wednesday, March 27 2013

McDonough wasn’t alone in his admiration. Wallace was a fan, as was Ainge, but McDonough remained solidly in Rondo’s corner even as he struggled through a disappointing sophomore season, rating him the second-best prospect in the draft. "While the rest of the world sort of dropped on Rondo, Ryan continued to evaluate him even higher," says Ainge. "Ryan was pushing very, very hard for Rajon. Ryan was very big in us having that strong of a desire for Rajon." SB Nation

"Let’s be honest," says Procopio, "out of 30 GMs in the league, probably 22 of them aren’t going to go to guys who are a step up from interns. That’s what we were -- low-level guys -- and ask them what they think about players. That’s OK. That’s how you run your ship. You’ve got your scouts, you’ve got your assistant general managers. You don’t need a million opinions in the room. Danny was different." Ainge is different. Described as a maverick even by those who work for him, Ainge has little use for titles or hierarchy. What he’s after is information and he doesn’t care where it comes from. "The best thing that happened to my career is working with Danny because he’s so open," says McDonough. "He’ll go to interns and say, ‘So what do you think?’" SB Nation

Those conversations with Ainge helped McDonough develop his chops and in 2004 he asked to go on the road and scout local college games. Ainge agreed and sent him out with a bit of advice. "I told Ryan at that time there’s no substitute for work," says Ainge. "All the genius in the world, I don’t care who you are. If it’s a Red Auerbach, a Jerry West, it doesn’t matter. You can’t replace work." SB Nation

The Celtics are constantly evaluating names for their summer league team and an annual minicamp they hold in May when international and D-League seasons are over. One of the players in their camp was former lottery pick Terrence Williams, who was playing in China. The Celtics signed him in late February. "If a guy is talented enough to be in the NBA, you have to constantly monitor him until he retires," says McDonough. "I’ve heard people say, ‘I don’t want that guy, or he’s not my kind of guy.’ Well, it’s difficult to dismiss somebody with NBA-caliber ability." SB Nation

 

» Thursday, March 21 2013

Bradford Doolittle of ESPN Insider unveiled a new metric for evaluating athleticism at the player and team levels on Wednesday, and that metric revealed that the Orlando Magic are the league's least athletic team overall. The metric, called ATH, "compares each player's percentage in rebounding, foul-drawing, blocked shots and steals to the league norms for a player of his height," Doolittle says. "The ratios are regressed for playing time and averaged together to create ATH, which is expressed as a number extended to three decimal points." An ATH rating of 1.000 indicates league-average athleticism, while a rating of 1.100 would indicate that the player or team in question is 10 percent more athletic than average. Orlandoinstripedpost.com

The Magic's overall ATH score is 0.913, which is comfortably behind the New Orleans Hornets' mark of 0.926 for last in the league. Orlando's most athletic players are rookie forward Maurice Harkless, second-year forward Tobias Harris, and veteran big man Glen Davis. Entering Wednesday's games, Harkless ranked as the league's 120th most athletic player. No other team in the league had its most athletic player ranked so low overall; the Philadelphia 76ers, with gadget forward Thaddeus Young (85th in the league), came closest to matching the Magic in this respect. Orlandoinstripedpost.com

 

» Tuesday, March 19 2013

Fifteen NBA teams have purchased the cameras, which cost about $100,000 per year, from STATS LLC; turning those X-Y coordinates into useful data is the main challenge those teams face.1 Some teams are just starting with the cameras, while others that bought them right away are far ahead and asking very interesting questions. Those 15 teams have been very secretive in revealing how they've used the data, but one team that has made serious progress — the Toronto Raptors — opened up the black box in a series of meetings this month with Grantland. The future of the NBA, at least in one place, looks like this: Grantland

The team could use that expected value system to build an "ideal" NBA defense irrespective of the Toronto scheme, but doing so today would be pointless, since part of the team's job is to sell a sometimes skeptical coaching staff on the value of all these new numbers and computer programs, says Alex Rucker, the Raptors' director of analytics. "You need that coaching perspective," Rucker says. "But we are still looking for where the rules are wrong — areas where there are systemic things that are wrong with what we do on the court. But any system needs to comply with what the coaches want, and what the players can do." Grantland

 

» Monday, March 11 2013

 

» Thursday, March 7 2013

Moving his offensive game closer to the basket has enabled Amar'e Stoudemire to reclaim his standing as one of the NBA's most efficient scorers. The Knicks forward is averaging a sterling 1.57 points per shot this year entering Wednesday's action, according to Basketball-Reference.com. That is fourth-most in the league among players scoring at least 15 points per 36 minutes of court time. And it is a huge improvement over his first two seasons as a Knick, when he averaged 1.31 points per shot. Stoudemire's efficiency even approaches his career-best 1.64 for the 2007-08 Phoenix Suns. Wall Street Journal

 

» Monday, March 4 2013

There were an estimated 2,700 attendees this year, a mix of students (really low QualGrip with that crowd), writers, employees of start-up companies whose names are all various puns on the word "analytics," front-office bigwigs and lil'wigs, accented academics, and — according to the official attendance list that everyone loves to pore over on the first morning to see whom they want to mildly stalk — one Reggie Love.1 It's a funny environment. Mark Cuban stalks the halls trying out video games, trailed by aspirational geeks like a pasty Pied Piper. Michael Lewis, hosting the keynote discussion "Revenge of the Nerds," looks over at America's most adored prophet, Nate Silver, and casually remarks that he can't remember whether he interviewed him for Moneyball. (I wish my own memory lapses were as highbrow as that.) There are basketball-shooting robots in one room, and guys giving talks about tracking the eye movements of soccer players in the next. One night, while out to drinks with a few colleagues and others, I turned to one of those others and was about to politely inquire "So, what do you do?" Before I could, a bunch of the other guys at the table started peppering him with questions about the San Antonio Spurs. As it turns out, he was R.C. Buford, the team's GM. Nice guy! Grantland

 
 

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