Players who didn't extend and are headed to restricted free agency

DeAndre Ayton and Marvin Bagley III

Players who didn't extend and are headed to restricted free agency

Free Agency

Players who didn't extend and are headed to restricted free agency

- by

The rookie-scale extension deadline has passed with a flurry of contracts for the 2018 draft class. Eleven players were extended, including four players signing maximum deals. These extensions combine for a total of $1.146 billion in guaranteed money.

Twelve players on rookie-scale contracts that were extension-eligible did not get a deal and it will be interesting to see how the 2022 free agent market shakes out for them. There are now only four teams that can generate significant cap space next offseason, which explains why so many players extended now. Here’s a look at those players that will be headed to restricted free agency in 2022.

Deandre Ayton (Phoenix)

Deandre Ayton, Phoenix Suns

Qualifying offer: $16,422,835

Deandre Ayton maintained his “max or no deal” stance and will look to secure a maximum contract next offseason. After Mikal Bridges and Landry Shamet signed their respective extensions, the Suns are set to be significant taxpayers next year once they presumably give Ayton his next contract. Phoenix could have a luxury tax bill close to $45 million next season if Ayton receives a maximum salary. There certainly should be a team willing to offer a maximum deal to Ayton like the Pistons or Spurs next offseason. The maximum a new team can offer Ayton is $44.6 million less than the one the Suns can offer him.

Marvin Bagley (Sacramento)

Qualifying offer: $14,762,309

It seems very unlikely that the Kings will tender the $14.8 million qualifying offer to Marvin Bagley. Whether he finishes the season in Sacramento or elsewhere, there’s a good chance he’s an unrestricted free agent next summer. His expiring $11 million salary could be used as salary filler in a trade.

Mo Bamba (Orlando)

Mo Bamba, Orlando Magic

Qualifying offer: $10,096,703

Mo Bamba has shown flashes but he hasn’t been consistent and has been in out of the lineup with several injuries. It’s not surprising he didn’t get extended and it would take a breakout season for the Magic to tender him a $10.1 million qualifying offer.

Collin Sexton (Cleveland)

Collin Sexton, Cleveland Cavaliers

Qualifying offer: $8,559,357

Collin Sexton has been an excellent offensive player for the Cavaliers and is worthy of a large extension. It will be interesting to find out how high the Cavaliers were willing to go on him. A recent comp Sexton should show in negotiations is Terry Rozier’s four-year, $97 million extension. Luckily for the Cavaliers, they won’t have any luxury tax concerns in regards to re-signing Sexton since they’re currently projected at roughly $30 million below the 2022-23 luxury tax.

Kevin Knox (New York)

Kevin Knox, New York Knicks

Qualifying offer: $7,921,300

Like with Bagley, Kevin Knox seems unlikely to receive a qualifying offer. The fourth-year forward hasn’t been able to find a role with the Knicks as the team’s trajectory has flown past his development.

Miles Bridges (Charlotte)

Utah Jazz guard Donovan Mitchell (45) shoots as Charlotte Hornets forward Miles Bridges (0) defends in the second half during an NBA basketball game Monday, Feb. 22, 2021, in Salt Lake City.

Qualifying offer: $7,459,976

According to Michael Scotto, people around the league believe Miles Bridges floor in an extension is $20 million annually. He could definitely outplay that valuation and will now test the market next summer. Charlotte could’ve afforded to extend him at an annual range that high despite recent deals for Terry Rozier and Kelly Oubre Jr.

Troy Brown Jr. (Chicago)

Troy Brown Jr, Chicago Bulls

Qualifying offer: $7,228,448

Troy Brown Jr. still has a chance to prove he’s a rotation player in the NBA. Look for him to use the most of his first full year in Chicago with a great opportunity for minutes to at least prove he should get tendered his $7.2 million qualifying offer.

Donte DiVincenzo (Milwaukee)

Qualifying offer: $6,602,272

Donte DiVincenzo not getting extended is a little surprising considering that the Bucks have little-to-no means to replace him. Milwaukee is already set to be in the luxury tax for the foreseeable future as long as they keep their starters on the team. While they’ve got their current tax payments controlled reasonably, it’s the payments starting in 2024-25 once they’re in the repeater tax that will really be felt. It sounds like they’ll want him to play out the year and test the market before committing big money to him.

Lonnie Walker IV (San Antonio)

Lonnie Walker, San Antonio Spurs

Qualifying offer: $6,311,564

San Antonio has a strong history of extending former first-round picks so it’s a little surprising they couldn’t come to an agreement with Lonnie Walker IV. At the same time, the Spurs have a glut of guards and they are projected to have the most have space next offseason at just under $40 million. He has a relatively low $13.3 million cap hold that could allow the Spurs to still utilize a lot of cap space and re-sign him afterward.

Josh Okogie (Minnesota)

Josh Okogie, Minnesota Timberwolves

Qualifying offer: $5,857,966

Josh Okogie is the second-most tenured player on the Timberwolves and has undergone two regime changes. It makes sense for the new front office to get a look at him and see how he fits in with one of Minnesota’s deeper benches in years. The Timberwolves are well below next season’s luxury tax so they won’t have any issues tendering his $5.9 million qualifying offer, which seems reasonable given his production thus far in his career.

Aaron Holiday (Washington)

Aaron Holiday, Washington Wizards

Qualifying offer: $5,791,702

Aaron Holiday’s name has surfaced in trade rumors since last season after struggling to stand out among a deep Pacers backcourt. He now has a fresh start in Washington with a great opportunity to be their primary point guard. The Wizards will have plenty of space below the luxury tax next offseason for the first time in a while. They’ll happily re-sign him to a lucrative new deal with their newfound flexibility if he breaks out this year.

Anfernee Simons (Portland)

Anfernee Simmons

Qualifying offer: $5,758,552

While Anfernee Simons has shown that he is a competent player, Portland has a lot of uncertainty with their roster beyond this season. Aside from Damian Lillard’s future, both Jusuf Nurkic and Robert Covington are due for new contracts. Re-signing or extending both will put the Blazers into the luxury tax with just eight players on the roster for next season. It seems like Portland will prioritize decisions on their starters before factoring Simons into the equation.

More HoopsHype