NBA rumors: Duncan Robinson to re-sign with Heat

Adrian Wojnarowski: Duncan Robinson – host of the @TheLongshotPod – has agreed to a 5-year, $90M contract to stay with the Miami Heat, his agent Jason Glushon of @GlushonSM tells ESPN. The deal, largest ever for an undrafted player, also includes an ETO after the fourth year.

More on Duncan Robinson Free Agency

Tim Reynolds: Duncan Robinson's deal, when it gets done, will be either four or five years, source tells AP. Process still playing out. Barring trades, Miami will have a core of Butler, Adebayo, Lowry and Robinson for three years, with Herro under contract for at least two of them.
Teams interested in Duncan Robinson continue to believe he will ultimately head back to the Miami Heat
The Heat, I’m told, are likewise strong favorites to re-sign restricted free agent sharpshooter Duncan Robinson with or without the addition of DeRozan and are believed to be attempting to make all of these moves without surrendering Tyler Herro via trade. Longtime Heat executive Andy Elisburg, regarded as one of the league’s foremost salary-cap savants, will only add to his legend if Miami can get all that done.
Duncan Robinson is set to receive one of the biggest raises among players previously on minimum contracts. ProFitX projects him with a $13.5 million salary for the 2021-22 season, which would equate to a four-year, $60 million deal with full 8 percent raises. However, that projection may pale in comparison to the offers he may actually receive in free agency. The $72 million and $80 million Joe Harris and Davis Bertans received last offseason, respectively, could serve as a marker for what Robinson will be commanding. All three players shot at least 40 percent from the three-point line in 2020-21.
Robinson, who has spent his first three NBA seasons with the Miami Heat, is set to become a restricted free agent this offseason. Teams can begin negotiating with free agents on Aug. 2 and officially begin signing free agents on Aug. 6. “For a while there it was like I’m just not even thinking about it. We’ll see,” Robinson said when asked about his impending free agency during a recent appearance on “The Old Man and the Three with JJ Redick and Tommy Alter” podcast. “Now we’re kind of getting into the zone where it’s like, all right, I’ll start to kind of feel out some different things and start to kind of really think critically about what I’m looking for in a potential destination.”
Comparable players such as Brooklyn Nets sharpshooter Joe Harris signed a four-year, $75 million contract and Washington Wizards three-point specialist Davis Bertans signed a five-year, $80 million as free agents last offseason. “The fact that I’m restricted, I think, changes a lot of things largely in that I’ve really, really loved my experience in Miami,” Robinson continued on the podcast. “But the reality is I don’t know a month from now what it’s going to look like. With where I’m at right now, truthfully, I’m just trying to keep an open mind. A big part of that is like not getting too attached to any scenario.”
There will be plenty of important roster decisions in front of the Heat in the coming weeks, and it will have a big one to make regarding Robinson. “I haven’t even like entered into that realm yet at this point three weeks out,” Robinson said of his impending free agency on the podcast. “So like for me right now, it’s just more about like, all right, I’m just going to continue handling my business day in and day out, take the information as it comes. Hopefully, at some point the right opportunity for me will become clear and we’ll move forward.”
And yet, because he also is aware of the power of social media, Robinson paused during his most recent edition of The Long Shot podcast to make two things clear: — He has not made a decision to leave the Miami Heat in free agency. — And he also has not made a decision on whether he will stay.
But because rumor season is in full swing, Robinson made a point on his podcast that dropped Friday to assure that there are no tea leaves to be read at the moment, even when co-host Davis Reid, his longtime friend, joked about Robinson possibly removing a piece of Heat memorability from his den. “I want to get out in front of Davis somehow alluding to me maybe not being in Miami moving forward,” Robinson chimed in. “That’s not at all what that was. There’s been a lot of speculation, confusion.”
Whether those checks will come from the Heat or elsewhere, possibly even as part of a sign-and-trade transaction with another team, make it a particularly intriguing offseason. “So, basically what I’m saying is, there will be no free-agency Easter eggs dropped in the podcast,” he said, before dropping somewhat of a breadcrumb. “With that being said, are there plans to have maybe some sort of an announcement included in the podcasts? Now that’s a different story. “So make sure you like and subscribe for future episodes,” he said, before making his Wojnarowski reference.
On the other hand, cap holds don’t do Miami any good if Miami wants to sign-and-trade for talent. Any sign-and-trade would require the Heat to stay below the apron (about $6 million above the tax line), and that could prove difficult. Sources tell The Athletic that Nunn could get offers in the $15 million a year range and Robinson perhaps even more, especially if he can burn all the tape of him guarding Khris Middleton.
Ira Winderman: Sun Sentinel can confirm that Heat has fully guaranteed the 2020-21 $1.7 million contracts for both Duncan Robinson and Kendrick Nunn. Both had had staggered guarantee dates. Both will next become restricted free agents in 2021 offseason, with only $2.1 million cap holds.
Albert Nahmad: Heat has officially signed Duncan Robinson to a one-year, two-way contract. Miami quickly locked in the undrafted 24-year-old, 6-foot, 8-inch forward from U of Michigan, who has shown a sweet 3-point shooting stroke, before any other team got any ideas about stealing him away.
Michael Scotto: The Miami Heat and Duncan Robinson (Michigan) have agreed to a one-year, 2-way deal, league sources told The Athletic. Robinson, who attended Williams Ephs before Michigan, will have the opportunity to become the first D-III player since Devean George to play in the NBA.
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